IDF captures Beaufort Castle, escalating the Israel-Hezbollah conflict. Withdrawal from Lebanon by June 30, 2026 at 6.5% YES.

Israeli troops crossed the Litani River, escalating conflict with Hezbollah. Permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026 at 3.2% YES, withdrawal by June 30, 2026 at 10

Israeli troops advanced into Lebanon, reducing the likelihood of a peace deal with Hezbollah. Permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026 at 12.3% YES.