UN Security Council to hold emergency session on Lebanon tensions

## Market Snapshot

The Israel x Hezbollah Permanent Peace Deal market is currently priced at 0.2% YES, down from 3% 24 hours ago. The Israel Withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026 market stands at 6.5% YES, having decreased from 12% over the past day.

## Key Takeaways

– The announcement of an emergency UN Security Council session appears to suggest increased geopolitical tension. – Netanyahu’s consideration of expanding operations in Lebanon could indicate a shift toward heightened military engagement. – The current diplomatic situation may be consistent with scenarios where a permanent peace deal is less likely.

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