Israel seeks US approval for expanded Beirut strikes amid rising tensions

## Market Snapshot

Israel x Hezbollah Permanent Peace Deal market is currently priced at 0.1% YES, down from 3% over the last 24 hours. The Israel Withdraws from Lebanon market shows a 6.5% YES probability for June 30, 2026, down from 12% yesterday.

## Key Takeaways

– The request for expanded strikes in Beirut suggests increased tensions, consistent with decreased likelihood of a permanent peace deal. – Markets indicate that an Israeli withdrawal from Lebanon appears less probable following this escalation. – The lack of direct Iranian involvement implies no significant impact on Iran-related military action markets.

## Article Body