## Market Snapshot

Israel x Hezbollah Permanent Peace Deal: Priced at 0.1% YES, down from 9% seven days ago. Israel Withdraws from Lebanon: Priced at 8.5% YES for June 30, 2026, and 0.1% YES for May 31, 2026.

## Key Takeaways

– The news suggests a significant escalation in the Israel-Hezbollah conflict, impacting peace deal prospects. – Market pricing indicates a decreased likelihood of Israel’s withdrawal from Lebanon by the specified dates. – The broader geopolitical context appears consistent with ongoing military tensions rather than diplomatic resolutions.

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