## Market Snapshot
Israel x Hezbollah Permanent Peace Deal is currently priced at 0.1% YES, down from 9% a week ago. Israel Strikes in 2026 is priced at 43.1% YES, indicating increased expectations of military action.
## Key Takeaways
– Netanyahu’s announcement of airstrikes on Beirut suggests heightened military activity, which appears consistent with reduced chances of a permanent peace deal between Israel and Hezbollah. – The ongoing exchange of strikes between Iran and the US may indicate further instability, impacting the likelihood of any peace agreement involving Israel and Iran. – The market pricing for Israel’s potential military actions in 2026 suggests an increased expectation of Israel striking multiple countries this year.
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