## Market Snapshot
The market for an “Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026” is currently priced at 6.8% YES, down from 8% 24 hours ago. The “Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting” market remains inactive, while the “Israel x Iran permanent peace deal” shows 18.4% YES for June 30, 2026.
## Key Takeaways
– The increase in Israeli strikes on Hezbollah appears to decrease the likelihood of a permanent peace deal between Israel and Hezbollah by May 31, 2026. – Rising tensions in the region suggest a lower probability of diplomatic meetings between Israel and Lebanon within the same timeframe. – The news has negligible impact on the Israel-Iran peace deal market, with no significant movement in pricing.
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