## Market Snapshot
The market for “Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?” is currently priced at 43.2% YES, up from 40% a day ago. Meanwhile, “Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?” is priced at 6.5% YES, down from 9% a week ago. The market for “Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?” remains at 48.5% YES.
## Key Takeaways
– Netanyahu’s order to target Beirut’s southern suburbs suggests an escalation in the Israel-Hezbollah conflict. – Market pricing indicates a decreased likelihood of Israeli withdrawal from Lebanon by the June deadline. – The dissolution of the Israeli parliament appears unaffected by the current military developments.
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