## Market Snapshot

In the Israel x Hezbollah Permanent Peace Deal market, the YES probability has dropped to 0.1%, down from 3% a day ago. The Israel Withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026 market shows a 6.5% YES probability, down from 12% a day ago.

## Key Takeaways

– The news suggests a significant decrease in the likelihood of a permanent peace deal between Israel and Hezbollah. – Market activity indicates a decreased probability of Israel’s military withdrawal from Lebanon by June 30, 2026. – European leaders’ condemnation of Israel’s actions may influence international diplomatic efforts.

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