Ben-Gvir urges Netanyahu to escalate military action against Hezbollah

## Market Snapshot

The market for a permanent peace deal between Israel and Hezbollah by May 31, 2026, is currently priced at 0.4% YES, down from 3% 24 hours ago. The market for Israel’s withdrawal from Lebanon by June 30, 2026, is priced at 6.5% YES, reflecting a decrease from 12% over the same period.

## Key Takeaways

– The call for increased military action by Itamar Ben-Gvir appears to reduce the likelihood of a peace agreement with Hezbollah. – Recent developments suggest a reduced probability of Israel withdrawing from Lebanon by the end of June 2026. – Markets appear to interpret the escalation as consistent with ongoing conflict rather than a resolution.

## Article Body