Israeli troops cross Litani River, escalating conflict with Hezbollah

## Market Snapshot

Israel x Hezbollah Permanent Peace Deal market shows 3.2% YES, down from 3% 24 hours ago. The Israel Withdraws from Lebanon market remains stable at 10% YES for June 30, 2026, and 0.9% YES for May 31, 2026.

## Key Takeaways

– Netanyahu’s announcement of Israeli troops crossing the Litani River suggests a significant military escalation. – Market pricing suggests a decreased likelihood of a permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026. – The probability of an Israeli withdrawal from Lebanon by June 30, 2026, appears less likely given the current escalation.

## Article Body