IDF retakes Beaufort Ridge outpost in Lebanon. Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026 at 6.5% YES.

Israel declares part of Lebanon a combat zone amid tensions with Hezbollah. Permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026 at 3.3% YES.

Israel strikes Beirut, escalating conflict with Hezbollah. Permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026 at 5.4% YES.

Israeli troops crossed the Litani River, escalating conflict with Hezbollah. Permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026 at 3.2% YES, withdrawal by June 30, 2026 at 10

Israeli troops advanced into Lebanon, reducing the likelihood of a peace deal with Hezbollah. Permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026 at 12.3% YES.

Israeli forces escalate military actions in Lebanon, reducing peace deal chances. Permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026 at 2.7% YES.

Israeli forces crossed the Litani River, escalating tensions with Hezbollah. Permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026 at 1.9% YES.

Lebanon accuses Israel of a 'scorched-earth policy' amid ongoing conflict. Withdrawal by June 30, 2026 at 7.5% YES.

IDF captures Beaufort Castle, indicating escalation in Lebanon conflict. Withdrawal from Lebanon by June 30, 2026 at 6.5% YES, peace deal with Hezbollah by May

Hezbollah drone attacks lead Israel to consider military conquest in Lebanon. Permanent peace deal by May 2026 drops to 0.5% YES, withdrawal by June 2026 at 6.5

The IDF held the outpost until May 2000, when Israel withdrew its forces from southern Lebanon on the order of former prime minister Ehud Barak.

IDF retakes Beaufort Ridge outpost in Lebanon. Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026 at 6.5% YES.

Netanyahu orders expanded military exercises in Lebanon. Permanent peace deal with Hezbollah by May 31, 2026 at 0.5% YES.