IDF retakes Beaufort Ridge outpost in Lebanon. Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026 at 6.5% YES.

Israel declares part of Lebanon a combat zone amid tensions with Hezbollah. Permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026 at 3.3% YES.

Israeli troops crossed the Litani River, escalating conflict with Hezbollah. Permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026 at 3.2% YES, withdrawal by June 30, 2026 at 10

Israeli troops advanced into Lebanon, reducing the likelihood of a peace deal with Hezbollah. Permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026 at 12.3% YES.

Israeli forces escalate military actions in Lebanon, reducing peace deal chances. Permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026 at 2.7% YES.

Israeli forces crossed the Litani River, escalating tensions with Hezbollah. Permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026 at 1.9% YES.

Lebanon accuses Israel of a 'scorched-earth policy' amid ongoing conflict. Withdrawal by June 30, 2026 at 7.5% YES.

IDF captures Beaufort Castle, indicating escalation in Lebanon conflict. Withdrawal from Lebanon by June 30, 2026 at 6.5% YES, peace deal with Hezbollah by May

The IDF held the outpost until May 2000, when Israel withdrew its forces from southern Lebanon on the order of former prime minister Ehud Barak.

IDF retakes Beaufort Ridge outpost in Lebanon. Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026 at 6.5% YES.

Ben-Gvir urges Netanyahu to escalate military action against Hezbollah. Permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026 at 0.4% YES; withdrawal from Lebanon by June 30, 20

UN Security Council to hold emergency session on Lebanon tensions. Permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026 at 0.2% YES; Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2

Israel seeks US approval for expanded strikes in Beirut. Permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026 at 0.1% YES; withdrawal from Lebanon by June 30, 2026 at 6.5% YES.

Israel deepens its military incursion in Lebanon by capturing Beaufort Castle. Permanent peace deal with Hezbollah by May 31, 2026 at 0.1% YES.

US backs Israeli military escalation against Hezbollah. Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026 at 6.5% YES.

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Netanyahu orders strikes on Beirut suburbs, escalating the Israel-Hezbollah conflict; strikes on 4 countries in 2026 at 43.2% YES.

IDF captures Beaufort Castle, escalating the Israel-Hezbollah conflict. Withdrawal from Lebanon by June 30, 2026 at 6.5% YES.

Netanyahu orders military strikes on Hezbollah stronghold in Beirut. Permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026 at 0.1% YES.

Israel intensifies airstrikes on Lebanon amid Hezbollah attacks. Permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026 at 0.1% YES.

Israel launches a ground invasion into southern Lebanon amid failed ceasefire talks. Permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026 at 0.1% YES.