$2,015,091 has traded on "Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 3..." as of June 1, 2026. View real-time odds or trade on The World's Largest Prediction Mark...

Israeli troops crossed the Litani River, escalating conflict with Hezbollah. Permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026 at 3.2% YES, withdrawal by June 30, 2026 at 10

Israeli troops advanced into Lebanon, reducing the likelihood of a peace deal with Hezbollah. Permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026 at 12.3% YES.

Israeli forces escalate military actions in Lebanon, reducing peace deal chances. Permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026 at 2.7% YES.

Israeli forces crossed the Litani River, escalating tensions with Hezbollah. Permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026 at 1.9% YES.

Lebanon accuses Israel of a 'scorched-earth policy' amid ongoing conflict. Withdrawal by June 30, 2026 at 7.5% YES.

IDF captures Beaufort Castle, indicating escalation in Lebanon conflict. Withdrawal from Lebanon by June 30, 2026 at 6.5% YES, peace deal with Hezbollah by May

Hezbollah drone attacks lead Israel to consider military conquest in Lebanon. Permanent peace deal by May 2026 drops to 0.5% YES, withdrawal by June 2026 at 6.5

IDF retakes Beaufort Ridge outpost in Lebanon. Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026 at 6.5% YES.

Ben-Gvir urges Netanyahu to escalate military action against Hezbollah. Permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026 at 0.4% YES; withdrawal from Lebanon by June 30, 20

UN Security Council to hold emergency session on Lebanon tensions. Permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026 at 0.2% YES; Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2

Israel seeks US approval for expanded strikes in Beirut. Permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026 at 0.1% YES; withdrawal from Lebanon by June 30, 2026 at 6.5% YES.

Israel deepens its military incursion in Lebanon by capturing Beaufort Castle. Permanent peace deal with Hezbollah by May 31, 2026 at 0.1% YES.

Israel expands military actions in Lebanon, reducing chances for a peace deal with Iran. Peace deal by June 30, 2026 at 10.1% YES.

US backs Israeli military escalation against Hezbollah. Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026 at 6.5% YES.

$34,680 has traded on "Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by J..." as of June 1, 2026. View real-time odds or trade on The World's Largest Prediction Mark...

$2,015,091 has traded on "Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 3..." as of June 1, 2026. View real-time odds or trade on The World's Largest Prediction Mark...

Netanyahu orders strikes on Beirut suburbs, escalating the Israel-Hezbollah conflict; strikes on 4 countries in 2026 at 43.2% YES.

IDF captures Beaufort Castle, escalating the Israel-Hezbollah conflict. Withdrawal from Lebanon by June 30, 2026 at 6.5% YES.

Netanyahu orders military strikes on Hezbollah stronghold in Beirut. Permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026 at 0.1% YES.

Israeli airstrikes on Beirut resume as US ceasefire efforts collapse. Permanent peace deal with Hezbollah by May 31, 2026 at 0.1% YES.