Iran threatens to halt Gulf oil exports due to U.S. military presence. WTI reaching $90 in July rises to 30.6% YES.

Iran closes the Strait of Hormuz amid US tensions. Traffic normalization by August 31 at 19.5% YES.

Iran closes the Strait of Hormuz, disrupting global oil supply. Traffic returning to normal by August 31 at 16.5% YES.

US-Iran strikes raise oil prices amid supply concerns. WTI reaching $110 in July 2026 at 1.2% YES.

Iran closed the Strait of Hormuz, causing oil prices to surge 5%. WTI reaching $130 by July 2026 is at 0.7% YES.

Iran closes the Strait of Hormuz, disrupting oil supply. WTI reaching $110 in July 2026 at 1.9% YES.

Iran expands attacks on US bases, disrupting oil flow. WTI reaching $110 in July 2026 at 1.8% YES.