Trump delays Iran strike at Gulf states' request. Strait of Hormuz traffic normal by July 31 at 45% YES.

US strikes killed Iran's Ayatollah Khamenei, raising tensions. US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027 at 59% YES.

Trump considers military strikes on Iran as Israel prepares for conflict. Permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026 at 13.5% YES.

Iran plans to reveal its strategy for the Strait of Hormuz amid rising tensions with Israel. Traffic normal by July 31 at 42.5% YES.

Iran conflict boosts coal demand as the Strait of Hormuz remains closed. Traffic returns to normal by July 31 at 42.5% YES.

Trump and Xi agree to keep the Strait of Hormuz open amid US-Iran tensions. US-Iran nuclear deal by June at 21% YES.

US Central Command redirected 81 vessels and disabled four in its Iran blockade. Trump restarting Project Freedom by May 31 at 37.5% YES.

Trump warns Iran, escalating tensions and reducing peace deal prospects. Israel-Iran peace deal by June 30, 2026 at 12.5% YES.

Trump considers military options as US-Iran nuclear talks stall. Diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026 at 49% YES.

Trump hints at military action against Iran, reducing peace deal odds. Permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026 at 12.5% YES.

Trump's post depicting a nuclear strike escalates US-Iran tensions. US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31 now at 7.5% YES.

Iran controls parts of the Hormuz Strait, disrupting shipping. Average daily transits by May 31 at 86.5% YES for 0-10 ships.

Trump discusses resuming combat operations against Iran. Iran closes its airspace by May 31 at 39.5% YES; US invasion of Iran before 2027 at 31.5% YES.

Iran warns of military action in the Gulf of Oman. 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz by May 31 at 43% YES.

US President Trump warned that the clock is ticking for Iran, though he declined to give a specific deadline. Situation room meeting due Tuesday.

G7 meets in Paris amid rising tensions with Iran. US-Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30 at 49% YES.

Trump holds a Situation Room meeting amid stalled US-Iran nuclear talks. Nuclear deal by June 30 at 20.5% YES, next diplomatic meeting by then at 48.9% YES.

Iran proposed a long truce and reopening of the Strait of Hormuz in US nuclear talks. Nuclear deal by June at 24.5% YES, traffic normalization by May at 5.2% YE

Iran proposes a truce and reopening of the Strait of Hormuz. Traffic returns to normal by end of May at 5% YES.

US rejected Iran's peace proposal ahead of a Situation Room meeting. Diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026 at 44.5% YES.

US maintains naval blockade on Iran as Trump refuses concessions. Normal traffic in the Strait of Hormuz by July 31 at 43.5% YES.