## Market Snapshot
The “Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?” market is currently priced at 49% YES, up from 44% 24 hours ago. The “US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?” market stands at 19.5% YES, down from 24% a day prior.
## Key Takeaways
– The Situation Room meeting appears to suggest a significant shift in focus from diplomacy to military considerations regarding Iran. – Trump’s coordination with Netanyahu indicates potential for increased regional tensions, consistent with a reduction in diplomatic engagement. – The market’s pricing suggests a decreased likelihood of a US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30, reflecting the lack of progress in negotiations.
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