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Netanyahu's hospital visit coincides with israel's planned strikes on Hezbollah targets
Netanyahu visits the hospital amid planned strikes on Hezbollah. Permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026 at 8.2% YES.
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Israeli army warns of bombings in southern Lebanon amid rising tensions
Israeli army warns of bombings in southern Lebanon. Diplomatic talks by May 31, 2026 at 27.1% YES.
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Hezbollah shells Israeli vehicles, escalating tensions with Israel
Hezbollah shells Israeli vehicles, escalating tensions. Israel strikes four countries in 2026 at 46.9% YES.
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US blames Hezbollah for Lebanon escalation, backing Israeli military action
US blamed Hezbollah for Lebanon escalation with full Trump admin backing. Israel-Hezbollah peace deal by May 2026 at 9.5% YES; Israel strikes 4 countries in Nov
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Netanyahu declares war on Hezbollah amid rising tensions with Lebanon
Netanyahu declares war on Hezbollah amid rising tensions. Permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026 at 9.4% YES.
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Israeli official warns of military escalation in Lebanon amid rising tensions
Israeli official warns of military escalation in Lebanon. Permanent peace deal with Hezbollah by May 31, 2026 at 9.3% YES.
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Israeli bombardment of Lebanon escalates tensions, complicates peace talks
Israeli bombardment of Lebanon escalates tensions. Peace deal with Hezbollah by May 31, 2026 at 11.8% YES.
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IDF escalates conflict with strikes on 70 Hezbollah sites in Lebanon
IDF escalates conflict with strikes on 70 Hezbollah sites in Lebanon. Permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026 at 11.8% YES.
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IDF strikes over 70 Hezbollah sites in Lebanon amid rising tensions
IDF strikes over 70 Hezbollah sites in Lebanon. Permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026 at 11.2% YES.
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Hezbollah destroys Israeli tanks, escalating tensions with Israel
Hezbollah destroyed Israeli tanks, escalating tensions. Permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026 at 10.2% YES.
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Israel targets Hezbollah leader amid rising Beirut tensions
Israel targets Hezbollah leader amid rising tensions. Permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026 at 8.4% YES.
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Netanyahu's hospital visit coincides with israel's planned strikes on Hezbollah targets
Netanyahu visits the hospital amid planned strikes on Hezbollah. Permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026 at 8.2% YES.
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Israel air raids in Lebanon escalate tensions, impact peace deal prospects
Israel's air raids in Lebanon escalate tensions. Strike on four countries in 2026 at 45.6% YES, peace deal with Hezbollah by May 31 at 7.2% YES.
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IDF launches ground offensive in Southern Lebanon amid rising tensions
IDF launches ground offensive in Southern Lebanon. Permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026 at 7.8% YES.
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Israel orders mass evacuations in southern Lebanon amid ceasefire breach accusations
Israel ordered mass evacuations in southern Lebanon amid ceasefire tensions. Permanent peace deal with Hezbollah by May 31, 2026 at 7.4% YES.
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Israel launches large-scale military operation in Lebanon amid peace talks
Israel launched a large-scale military operation in Lebanon. Permanent peace deal with Hezbollah by May 31, 2026 at 9.3% YES.
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Israeli military actions in Lebanon continue, impacting peace deal prospects
Israeli military actions in Lebanon continue, raising concerns for peace. Israel strikes in 2026 market at 46.5% YES, while peace deal odds drop to 9.3% YES.
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Israel escalates military operations, dims Lebanon diplomatic meeting prospects
Israel escalates military operations, reducing chances for talks. Permanent peace deal with Hezbollah by May 31, 2026 at 9.6% YES.
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Israel strikes in Lebanon escalate tensions, Iran condemns US actions
Israeli strikes in Lebanon escalate tensions, leading to skepticism about a peace deal. Permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026 at 9.8% YES.
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Israel escalates military operations, impacting peace deal prospects
Israel escalates military operations against Hamas and Hezbollah. Peace deal with Hezbollah by May 31, 2026 at 8.3% YES.
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Israel intensifies military actions as US-Iran tensions rise in Strait of Hormuz
Israel intensifies military actions against Hezbollah. Permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026 at 6.9% YES; US invasion of Iran before 2027 at 18.5% YES.