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Iran proposes truce, Strait of Hormuz reopening amid nuclear talks
Iran proposes a truce and reopening of the Strait of Hormuz. Traffic returns to normal by end of May at 5% YES.
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cryptobriefing.com
US redirects 75 ships in Strait of Hormuz amid escalating tensions with Iran
US redirects 75 ships in the Strait of Hormuz amid rising tensions with Iran. Daily transits of 0-10 by May 31 at 70.5% YES.
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Trump rejects Iran nuclear proposal, dims deal prospects
Trump rejects Iran's nuclear proposal, reducing deal prospects. US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30 at 28% YES.
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english.hani.co.kr
US, Iran near deal to end war and set stage for nuclear talks
The US has reportedly proposed a one-page MOU to Iran outlining an end to the war and scheduling 30 days of negotiations for issues including Iran’s nuclear program
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US strikes kill Iran's Ayatollah Khamenei, escalate tensions
US strikes killed Iran's Ayatollah Khamenei, raising tensions. US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027 at 59% YES.
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US, Israel consider military escalation against Iran amid regional tensions
US and Israel consider military escalation against Iran. Permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026 at 15.5% YES, down from 18% yesterday.
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Iran signals transit normalization through Hormuz tied to security conditions after Trump's China visit
Iran says Strait of Hormuz transit will normalize once security is restored, but its new permit regime and proposed $1/barrel toll suggest permanent control, not a return to free…
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Iran imposes $2M toll for Strait of Hormuz transit, impacting US operations
Iran imposes a $2M toll for Strait of Hormuz transit, reducing ship transit odds. 20 ships transiting by May 31 now at 46.5% YES.
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Iran to reveal Strait of Hormuz plan amid Israel's Lebanon, Gaza attacks
Iran plans to reveal its strategy for the Strait of Hormuz amid rising tensions with Israel. Traffic normal by July 31 at 42.5% YES.
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Iran conflict boosts coal demand as Strait of Hormuz remains closed: WSJ
Iran conflict boosts coal demand as the Strait of Hormuz remains closed. Traffic returns to normal by July 31 at 42.5% YES.
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Leaked US demands may stall Iran nuclear deal progress
Leaked US demands may stall Iran nuclear deal progress. US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31 at 7.5% YES.
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Trump, Xi agree to keep Strait of Hormuz open amid US-Iran tensions
Trump and Xi agree to keep the Strait of Hormuz open amid US-Iran tensions. US-Iran nuclear deal by June at 21% YES.
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US Central Command redirects 81 vessels, disables four in Iran blockade
US Central Command redirected 81 vessels and disabled four in its Iran blockade. Trump restarting Project Freedom by May 31 at 37.5% YES.
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Drone attack on UAE nuclear plant escalates US-Iran tensions
Drone attack on UAE nuclear plant escalates US-Iran tensions. Permanent peace deal between Israel and Iran by June 30, 2026 at 13% YES.
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US issues five peace ultimatums to Iran amid nuclear deal tensions
US issues five peace ultimatums to Iran amid tensions. US-Iran nuclear deal by June priced at 22.5% YES.
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Trump warns Iran, escalating tensions and impacting peace deal prospects
Trump warns Iran, escalating tensions and reducing peace deal prospects. Israel-Iran peace deal by June 30, 2026 at 12.5% YES.
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Trump considers military options as US-Iran nuclear talks stall
Trump considers military options as US-Iran nuclear talks stall. Diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026 at 49% YES.
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Trump hints at military action against Iran, impacting peace deal odds
Trump hints at military action against Iran, reducing peace deal odds. Permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026 at 12.5% YES.
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Strait of Hormuz closure could lead to record low oil stockpiles: CNBC
Strait of Hormuz faces potential closure, impacting oil stockpiles. Traffic normal by July 31 at 42.5% YES, Bab el-Mandeb Strait closed by May 31 at 5% YES.
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Trump post depicting nuclear strike escalates US-Iran tensions
Trump's post depicting a nuclear strike escalates US-Iran tensions. US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31 now at 7.5% YES.
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Iran controls Hormuz Strait, reroutes global shipping amid crisis
Iran controls parts of the Hormuz Strait, disrupting shipping. Average daily transits by May 31 at 86.5% YES for 0-10 ships.