Trump rejects Iran's nuclear proposal, reducing deal prospects. US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30 at 28% YES.
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This article examines how recent events may relate to prediction market pricing. It reflects interpretive analysis of publicly available information and is provided for informational purposes only.
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## Market Snapshot
The “US-Iran Nuclear Deal by June 30” market is currently priced at 28% for a YES outcome, up from 26% a day ago. The “US-Iran Nuclear Deal by May 31” market has decreased to 7% YES, down from 10% over the past 24 hours.
Trump warns Iran to negotiate or face destruction. US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027 at 55.5% YES, while Israel-Iran peace deal by…
Trump shows willingness for a 20-year limit on Iran's nuclear program. Deal before 2027 now at 61.5% YES.
CENTCOM signals decreased likelihood of a US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31. Deal at 7.5% YES.
US rejects Iran's proposal amid tensions. Strait of Hormuz traffic normal by December 31 at 76.5% YES.
Israel and the US consider renewed military attacks on Iran. Permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026 at 17.5% YES.
Iran claims strikes on US destroyers in the Strait of Hormuz. US invasion of Iran before 2027 at 22.5% YES.
