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Trump convenes Situation Room meeting as US-Iran nuclear deal stalls
Trump holds a Situation Room meeting amid stalled US-Iran nuclear talks. Nuclear deal by June 30 at 20.5% YES, next diplomatic meeting by then at 48.9% YES.
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Trump signals openness to 20-year limit on Iran nuclear program
Trump shows willingness for a 20-year limit on Iran's nuclear program. Deal before 2027 now at 61.5% YES.
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Iran rejects enriched uranium transfer, citing distrust of US
Iran rejects the transfer of enriched uranium, citing distrust of the US. US obtaining Iranian enriched uranium by May 31 at 5.5% YES.
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Trump rejects Iran nuclear proposal, dims deal prospects
Trump rejects Iran's nuclear proposal, reducing deal prospects. US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30 at 28% YES.
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US strikes kill Iran's Ayatollah Khamenei, escalate tensions
US strikes killed Iran's Ayatollah Khamenei, raising tensions. US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027 at 59% YES.
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US, Israel consider military escalation against Iran amid regional tensions
US and Israel consider military escalation against Iran. Permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026 at 15.5% YES, down from 18% yesterday.
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Trump considers Iran strikes as Israel readies for potential war escalation
Trump considers military strikes on Iran as Israel prepares for conflict. Permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026 at 13.5% YES.
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Leaked US demands may stall Iran nuclear deal progress
Leaked US demands may stall Iran nuclear deal progress. US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31 at 7.5% YES.
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Trump, Xi agree to keep Strait of Hormuz open amid US-Iran tensions
Trump and Xi agree to keep the Strait of Hormuz open amid US-Iran tensions. US-Iran nuclear deal by June at 21% YES.
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Drone attack on UAE nuclear plant escalates US-Iran tensions
Drone attack on UAE nuclear plant escalates US-Iran tensions. Permanent peace deal between Israel and Iran by June 30, 2026 at 13% YES.
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US issues five peace ultimatums to Iran amid nuclear deal tensions
US issues five peace ultimatums to Iran amid tensions. US-Iran nuclear deal by June priced at 22.5% YES.
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Trump warns Iran, escalating tensions and impacting peace deal prospects
Trump warns Iran, escalating tensions and reducing peace deal prospects. Israel-Iran peace deal by June 30, 2026 at 12.5% YES.
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Trump considers military options as US-Iran nuclear talks stall
Trump considers military options as US-Iran nuclear talks stall. Diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026 at 49% YES.
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Trump hints at military action against Iran, impacting peace deal odds
Trump hints at military action against Iran, reducing peace deal odds. Permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026 at 12.5% YES.
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Trump post depicting nuclear strike escalates US-Iran tensions
Trump's post depicting a nuclear strike escalates US-Iran tensions. US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31 now at 7.5% YES.
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Trump discusses resuming combat operations against Iran with security team
Trump discusses resuming combat operations against Iran. Iran closes its airspace by May 31 at 39.5% YES; US invasion of Iran before 2027 at 31.5% YES.
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G7 meets in Paris as Iran plans Strait of Hormuz transit fees amid tensions
G7 meets in Paris amid rising tensions with Iran. US-Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30 at 49% YES.
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Trump convenes Situation Room meeting as US-Iran nuclear deal stalls
Trump holds a Situation Room meeting amid stalled US-Iran nuclear talks. Nuclear deal by June 30 at 20.5% YES, next diplomatic meeting by then at 48.9% YES.
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Iran proposes long truce, Hormuz reopening in US nuclear talks
Iran proposed a long truce and reopening of the Strait of Hormuz in US nuclear talks. Nuclear deal by June at 24.5% YES, traffic normalization by May at 5.2% YE
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Iran proposes truce, Strait of Hormuz reopening amid nuclear talks
Iran proposes a truce and reopening of the Strait of Hormuz. Traffic returns to normal by end of May at 5% YES.