Trump shows willingness for a 20-year limit on Iran's nuclear program. Deal before 2027 now at 61.5% YES.
Searching...
This article examines how recent events may relate to prediction market pricing. It reflects interpretive analysis of publicly available information and is provided for informational purposes only.
Share
## Market Snapshot
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027 is currently priced at 61.5% YES, up from 56% 24 hours ago. The market for a deal by May 31 has dropped to 6.5% YES, while by June 30 it has risen slightly to 27.5% YES.
Trump warns Iran to negotiate or face destruction. US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027 at 55.5% YES, while Israel-Iran peace deal by…
CENTCOM signals decreased likelihood of a US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31. Deal at 7.5% YES.
Israel and the US consider renewed military attacks on Iran. Permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026 at 17.5% YES.
US rejects Iran's proposal amid tensions. Strait of Hormuz traffic normal by December 31 at 76.5% YES.
Iran ships transit Hormuz freely amid US tensions. US blockade lift by May 31, 2026 at 23.5% YES.
Iran claims strikes on US destroyers in the Strait of Hormuz. US invasion of Iran before 2027 at 22.5% YES.
