Trump plans US-Iran uranium excavation amid nuclear tensions

## Market Snapshot

In the market for Iran agreeing to end uranium enrichment by December 31, 2026, current pricing shows 59.5% support for a YES outcome. For the US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31, 2026, YES is priced at 20.4%. Markets related to Trump agreeing to Iranian demands by June 30 show a varied range of YES pricing from 5.5% to 56.5%.

## Key Takeaways

– Trump’s statement appears to decrease the likelihood of Iran agreeing to end uranium enrichment by December 31, 2026. – Market pricing suggests a reduced probability of a US-Iran nuclear deal being reached by May 31, 2026. – The likelihood of Trump agreeing to Iranian demands by June 30, 2026, appears diminished, as indicated by current market movements.

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