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How to read IMD's 2026 monsoon forecast | Number Theory

The prospect of an El Nino developing this year was already evident before IMD issued its April 13 forecast.

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How to read IMD's 2026 monsoon forecast | Number Theory

IMD cut its 2026 monsoon forecast to 90% of LPA, signaling below-normal rainfall as El Niño arrives by May–July. Forecast error doubles in El Niño years (~9% vs ~5% of LPA), adding material risk for India-exposed supply chains and climate-sensitive planning.

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venerdì 29 maggio 2026·hindustantimes.com
Monsoon concerns deepen as rainfall forecast falls to 90% of normal
The IMD said on Friday that weak El Nino conditions are expected to develop in June, strengthening towards second half of the season. | India News
venerdì 29 maggio 2026·economictimes.indiatimes.com
IMD retains below-normal monsoon forecast; Raises worries for farms and food bills
India's weather office predicts below-average monsoon rains for 2026. El Nino conditions are expected to develop soon. This could impact farm output and food prices. Monsoon rains…

How to read IMD's 2026 monsoon forecast | Number Theory

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How to read IMD's 2026 monsoon forecast | Number Theory

Timeline cronologica

Monsoon concerns deepen as rainfall forecast falls to 90% of normal

IMD retains below-normal monsoon forecast; Raises worries for farms and food bills

IMD revises monsoon forecast down to 90%, deepening concerns

India may receive 90% of normal monsoon in 2026, says IMD

India to get below normal rainfall with precipitation less than 90% of LPA: IMD

IMD revises monsoon rainfall forecast down to 90%

IMD cuts its estimate of 2026 monsoon rainfall to 90%, its lowest ever forecast

IMD revises monsoon forecast down to 90%, deepening concerns

India to see 90% of long period average rainfall this monsoon: IMD

India to get below normal rainfall with precipitation less than 90% of LPA: IMD

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How to read IMD's 2026 monsoon forecast | Number Theory