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US-Iran peace deal reportedly includes $300B reconstruction fund: NYT
US-Iran peace deal includes a $300 billion reconstruction fund, boosting ceasefire extension by June 7 to 59.5% YES.
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cryptobriefing.com
Iran accuses US of ceasefire violation amid new military strikes
Iran accuses the US of ceasefire violations amid new strikes. Ceasefire extension by May 26 drops to 1.7% YES, June 7 remains at 63.5% YES.
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polymarket.com
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
$8,466,612 has traded on "US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefi..." as of May 27, 2026. View real-time odds or trade on The World's Largest Prediction Mark...
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IRGC retaliates against US base amid heightened tensions with Iran
IRGC retaliated against a US base amid rising tensions. Ceasefire extension by June now at 42.5% YES, while nuclear deal by May drops to 8.6% YES.
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US-Iran ceasefire unravels, tensions rise, oil prices surge
US-Iran ceasefire unravels, leading to rising tensions and oil prices. Ceasefire extension by June 7 now at 40.5% YES, down from 67% yesterday.
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US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
$13,119,211 has traded on "US announces new Iran agreement/ceasef..." as of May 28, 2026. View real-time odds or trade on The World's Largest Prediction Mark...
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US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?
$13,119,211 has traded on "US announces new Iran agreement/ceasef..." as of May 28, 2026. View real-time odds or trade on The World's Largest Prediction Mark...
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US-Iran reach tentative deal pending Trump's approval
US and Iran reached a tentative deal pending Trump's approval. Agreement or ceasefire by June 7 at 53% YES.
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US and Iran reach tentative deal to extend ceasefire, begin nuclear talks
US and Iran reach a tentative deal to extend the ceasefire and start nuclear talks. Ceasefire extension by June 7 at 67% YES.
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US and Iran 'very close' to ceasefire extension deal: Vance
US and Iran are "very close" to a ceasefire extension deal, boosting market confidence; ceasefire extension by June 7 at 59% YES.
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Iran refuses to transfer enriched uranium, complicating US negotiations
Iran refuses to transfer enriched uranium, complicating US negotiations. Trump agreeing to Iranian demands by June 30 at 14% YES.
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Iran plans uranium transfer to China, complicating US nuclear deal talks
Iran plans to transfer uranium to China, complicating US nuclear deal talks. Iran ends enrichment by December 31 at 58% YES.
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Iran nears weapons-grade uranium with 970 pounds enriched
Iran nears weapons-grade uranium with 970 pounds enriched. Agreement to end enrichment by December 31, 2026 at 58% YES.
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US warns Iran of military action if ceasefire deal rejected
US warns Iran of military action if ceasefire deal is rejected. Invasion before 2027 at 16.5% YES; new agreement by June 7 at 59.5% YES.
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Iran emphasizes missile power over dialogue, impacting US-Iran deal prospects
Iran emphasizes missile power over dialogue, reducing confidence in US-Iran agreements. Ceasefire extension by June 7 at 59.5% YES.
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US-Iran peace deal reportedly includes $300B reconstruction fund: NYT
US-Iran peace deal includes a $300 billion reconstruction fund, boosting ceasefire extension by June 7 to 59.5% YES.
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Trump plans US-Iran uranium excavation amid nuclear tensions
Trump plans to excavate uranium in Iran amid tensions. Iran agrees to end enrichment by December 31 at 59.5% YES.
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US-Iran draft agreement includes end to Lebanon war, signals regional de-escalation
US-Iran draft agreement signals end to Lebanon war. Ceasefire extension by June 7 at 69.5% YES; Israel-Hezbollah peace deal by May 31, 2026 at 9.3% YES.
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Iran rejects Trump's terms for lifting Hormuz blockade amid nuclear tensions
Iran rejects Trump's terms for lifting the Hormuz blockade. Ceasefire by June 7 at 64.5% YES; nuclear deal by June 30 at 45.5% YES.
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US and Iran nearing memorandum of understanding to extend ceasefire
US and Iran are close to finalizing a memorandum of understanding to extend the ceasefire. Ceasefire extension by June 7 at 64.5% YES.
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Iran conflict triggers major energy crisis, disrupts Strait of Hormuz shipping
Iran conflict disrupts Strait of Hormuz shipping. Iranian regime falls by June 30 at 2.4% YES; US-Iran ceasefire extension by June 7 at 56.5% YES.