## Market Snapshot
The market for “Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?” is currently priced at 2.4% for a YES outcome, down from 3% a day ago. The market for “US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?” is priced at 56.5% YES, up from 36% a day ago.
## Key Takeaways
– The escalation in the Iran conflict appears to support a potential increase in military actions against neighboring countries. – The likelihood of the Iranian regime falling by June 30 suggests low probability, with current pricing at 2.4% YES. – Markets appear less optimistic about a US-Iran agreement or ceasefire extension amid ongoing tensions.
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