## Market Snapshot
The market for “US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7” is currently priced at 67% YES. This pricing has remained stable over the last 24 hours, with no significant changes reported.
## Key Takeaways
– The tentative deal between the US and Iran to extend the ceasefire and launch nuclear talks appears consistent with a supportive environment for a YES outcome by June 7. – Market activity suggests a high-impact recognition of the deal’s significance, with a 25% expected move in the YES direction. – The news does not appear to affect unrelated markets, such as the Russia-Ukraine ceasefire or the Israel-Hezbollah peace deal.
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