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US and Iran reach tentative deal to extend ceasefire, begin nuclear talks
US and Iran reach a tentative deal to extend the ceasefire and start nuclear talks. Ceasefire extension by June 7 at 67% YES.
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cryptobriefing.com
Nikkei: Iran to reopen Strait of Hormuz 30 days after US deal
Nikkei reports Iran will reopen Hormuz 30 days after a US deal; ceasefire extension by June 7 at 73.5% YES, Hormuz normal by May 31 at 3% YES.
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polymarket.com
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
$6,968,011 has traded on "US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefi..." as of May 26, 2026. View real-time odds or trade on The World's Largest Prediction Mark...
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Iran accuses US of ceasefire violation amid new military strikes
Iran accuses the US of ceasefire violations amid new strikes. Ceasefire extension by May 26 drops to 1.7% YES, June 7 remains at 63.5% YES.
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US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
$8,466,612 has traded on "US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefi..." as of May 27, 2026. View real-time odds or trade on The World's Largest Prediction Mark...
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IRGC retaliates against US base amid heightened tensions with Iran
IRGC retaliated against a US base amid rising tensions. Ceasefire extension by June now at 42.5% YES, while nuclear deal by May drops to 8.6% YES.
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US-Iran ceasefire unravels, tensions rise, oil prices surge
US-Iran ceasefire unravels, leading to rising tensions and oil prices. Ceasefire extension by June 7 now at 40.5% YES, down from 67% yesterday.
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Iran agrees to remove mines, easing Strait of Hormuz tensions
Iran agrees to remove mines, easing tensions in the Strait of Hormuz. US-Iran agreement by June 7 at 58% YES.
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US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?
$13,119,211 has traded on "US announces new Iran agreement/ceasef..." as of May 28, 2026. View real-time odds or trade on The World's Largest Prediction Mark...
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US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
$13,119,211 has traded on "US announces new Iran agreement/ceasef..." as of May 28, 2026. View real-time odds or trade on The World's Largest Prediction Mark...
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US-Iran reach tentative deal pending Trump's approval
US and Iran reached a tentative deal pending Trump's approval. Agreement or ceasefire by June 7 at 53% YES.
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US and Iran reach tentative deal to extend ceasefire, begin nuclear talks
US and Iran reach a tentative deal to extend the ceasefire and start nuclear talks. Ceasefire extension by June 7 at 67% YES.
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US and Iran 'very close' to ceasefire extension deal: Vance
US and Iran are "very close" to a ceasefire extension deal, boosting market confidence; ceasefire extension by June 7 at 59% YES.
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Iran emphasizes missile power over dialogue, impacting US-Iran deal prospects
Iran emphasizes missile power over dialogue, reducing confidence in US-Iran agreements. Ceasefire extension by June 7 at 59.5% YES.
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US-Iran peace deal reportedly includes $300B reconstruction fund: NYT
US-Iran peace deal includes a $300 billion reconstruction fund, boosting ceasefire extension by June 7 to 59.5% YES.
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US-Iran draft agreement includes end to Lebanon war, signals regional de-escalation
US-Iran draft agreement signals end to Lebanon war. Ceasefire extension by June 7 at 69.5% YES; Israel-Hezbollah peace deal by May 31, 2026 at 9.3% YES.
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Iran rejects Trump's terms for lifting Hormuz blockade amid nuclear tensions
Iran rejects Trump's terms for lifting the Hormuz blockade. Ceasefire by June 7 at 64.5% YES; nuclear deal by June 30 at 45.5% YES.
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US and Iran nearing memorandum of understanding to extend ceasefire
US and Iran are close to finalizing a memorandum of understanding to extend the ceasefire. Ceasefire extension by June 7 at 64.5% YES.
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Iran conflict triggers major energy crisis, disrupts Strait of Hormuz shipping
Iran conflict disrupts Strait of Hormuz shipping. Iranian regime falls by June 30 at 2.4% YES; US-Iran ceasefire extension by June 7 at 56.5% YES.
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US-Iran nuclear talks stall as Iran insists on enrichment rights
US-Iran nuclear talks stall as Iran insists on enrichment rights. New agreement by June 7 at 52.5% YES, end of enrichment by December 31 at 56% YES.
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Trump considers US-Iran ceasefire extension, nuclear talks proposal
Trump considers a ceasefire extension and nuclear talks with Iran. Ceasefire by June 7 priced at 54.5% YES, troop withdrawal by June 30 at 39.5% YES.