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US warns Iran of military action if ceasefire deal rejected
US warns Iran of military action if ceasefire deal is rejected. Invasion before 2027 at 16.5% YES; new agreement by June 7 at 59.5% YES.
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2 prospettive sulla stessa storiaTimeline cronologica
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cryptobriefing.com
Iran accuses US of ceasefire violation amid new military strikes
Iran accuses the US of ceasefire violations amid new strikes. Ceasefire extension by May 26 drops to 1.7% YES, June 7 remains at 63.5% YES.
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Israel intensifies military actions as US-Iran tensions rise in Strait of Hormuz
Israel intensifies military actions against Hezbollah. Permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026 at 6.9% YES; US invasion of Iran before 2027 at 18.5% YES.
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Iran, US draft MOU suggests military de-escalation, potential blockade lift
Iran and the US draft an MOU for military de-escalation. US invasion of Iran before 2027 at 19.5% YES.
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US military strikes Iranian site in Strait of Hormuz, intercepts drones
US military strikes an Iranian site in the Strait of Hormuz. US invasion of Iran before 2027 rises to 22.5% YES.
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Exchange of fire reported between US and Iranian forces in Strait of Hormuz
Exchange of fire reported between US and Iranian forces in the Strait of Hormuz. US invasion of Iran before 2027 at 21.5% YES.
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US-Iran ceasefire unravels, tensions rise, oil prices surge
US-Iran ceasefire unravels, leading to rising tensions and oil prices. Ceasefire extension by June 7 now at 40.5% YES, down from 67% yesterday.
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Iran escalates tensions with missile attacks on Kuwait
Iran escalates tensions with missile attacks on Kuwait. Airspace closure by May 31 at 12.7% YES; US ceasefire extension by June 7 at 34.5% YES.
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Iran targets US air base in Kuwait after Trump dismisses Hormuz deal
Iran attacked a US air base in Kuwait after Trump dismissed a deal. US invasion of Iran by 2026 at 20.5% YES.
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polymarket.com
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
$13,119,211 has traded on "US announces new Iran agreement/ceasef..." as of May 28, 2026. View real-time odds or trade on The World's Largest Prediction Mark...
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US-Iran reach tentative deal pending Trump's approval
US and Iran reached a tentative deal pending Trump's approval. Agreement or ceasefire by June 7 at 53% YES.
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US and Iran reach tentative deal to extend ceasefire, begin nuclear talks
US and Iran reach a tentative deal to extend the ceasefire and start nuclear talks. Ceasefire extension by June 7 at 67% YES.
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Trump claims US strikes thwarted Iran's nuclear ambitions
Trump claims US strikes thwarted Iran's nuclear ambitions. US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31 at 15% YES.
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US and Iran 'very close' to ceasefire extension deal: Vance
US and Iran are "very close" to a ceasefire extension deal, boosting market confidence; ceasefire extension by June 7 at 59% YES.
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US warns Iran of military action if ceasefire deal rejected
US warns Iran of military action if ceasefire deal is rejected. Invasion before 2027 at 16.5% YES; new agreement by June 7 at 59.5% YES.
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Iran emphasizes missile power over dialogue, impacting US-Iran deal prospects
Iran emphasizes missile power over dialogue, reducing confidence in US-Iran agreements. Ceasefire extension by June 7 at 59.5% YES.
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US strikes on Iran escalate tensions, impact Trump presidency and war markets
US military strikes on Iran escalate tensions. Trump out as President before 2027 at 10.5% YES; US declares war on Iran by 2026 at 6.5% YES.
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Iran rejects Trump's terms for lifting Hormuz blockade amid nuclear tensions
Iran rejects Trump's terms for lifting the Hormuz blockade. Ceasefire by June 7 at 64.5% YES; nuclear deal by June 30 at 45.5% YES.
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Iran conflict triggers major energy crisis, disrupts Strait of Hormuz shipping
Iran conflict disrupts Strait of Hormuz shipping. Iranian regime falls by June 30 at 2.4% YES; US-Iran ceasefire extension by June 7 at 56.5% YES.
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Trump considers US-Iran ceasefire extension, nuclear talks proposal
Trump considers a ceasefire extension and nuclear talks with Iran. Ceasefire by June 7 priced at 54.5% YES, troop withdrawal by June 30 at 39.5% YES.
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White House stance dims US-Iran deal prospects by June 30
White House stance reduces chances for US-Iran agreements. Nuclear deal by June 30 now at 47.5% YES.