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Trump post depicting nuclear strike escalates US-Iran tensions
Trump's post depicting a nuclear strike escalates US-Iran tensions. US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31 now at 7.5% YES.
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Israel, US consider renewed military attacks on Iran amid tensions
Israel and the US consider renewed military attacks on Iran. Permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026 at 17.5% YES.
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Trump warns Iran: negotiate or face destruction amid nuclear tensions
Trump warns Iran to negotiate or face destruction. US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027 at 55.5% YES, while Israel-Iran peace deal by June 30, 2026 at 17.5% YES.
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US rejects Iran's 14-point proposal amid Strait of Hormuz tensions
US rejects Iran's proposal amid tensions. Strait of Hormuz traffic normal by December 31 at 76.5% YES.
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Trump signals openness to 20-year limit on Iran nuclear program
Trump shows willingness for a 20-year limit on Iran's nuclear program. Deal before 2027 now at 61.5% YES.
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Iran rejects enriched uranium transfer, citing distrust of US
Iran rejects the transfer of enriched uranium, citing distrust of the US. US obtaining Iranian enriched uranium by May 31 at 5.5% YES.
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Trump rejects Iran nuclear proposal, dims deal prospects
Trump rejects Iran's nuclear proposal, reducing deal prospects. US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30 at 28% YES.
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US strikes kill Iran's Ayatollah Khamenei, escalate tensions
US strikes killed Iran's Ayatollah Khamenei, raising tensions. US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027 at 59% YES.
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US, Israel consider military escalation against Iran amid regional tensions
US and Israel consider military escalation against Iran. Permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026 at 15.5% YES, down from 18% yesterday.
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Trump post suggests increased US involvement in Iran conflict amid midterms
Trump's post hints at more US involvement in Iran. Democratic control in 2026 midterms now at 43.5% YES.
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Trump considers Iran strikes as Israel readies for potential war escalation
Trump considers military strikes on Iran as Israel prepares for conflict. Permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026 at 13.5% YES.
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Leaked US demands may stall Iran nuclear deal progress
Leaked US demands may stall Iran nuclear deal progress. US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31 at 7.5% YES.
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Israeli military strikes on Doha, Tehran escalate Iran conflict
Israeli military strikes on Doha and Tehran escalate tensions. Permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026 at 13% YES.
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Trump, Xi agree to keep Strait of Hormuz open amid US-Iran tensions
Trump and Xi agree to keep the Strait of Hormuz open amid US-Iran tensions. US-Iran nuclear deal by June at 21% YES.
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Iran drone attack targets UAE nuclear plant amid rising tensions
Iran launched a drone attack on a UAE nuclear plant, raising military action expectations. Military action against neighbors at 75% YES.
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Drone attack on UAE nuclear plant escalates US-Iran tensions
Drone attack on UAE nuclear plant escalates US-Iran tensions. Permanent peace deal between Israel and Iran by June 30, 2026 at 13% YES.
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US issues five peace ultimatums to Iran amid nuclear deal tensions
US issues five peace ultimatums to Iran amid tensions. US-Iran nuclear deal by June priced at 22.5% YES.
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Trump warns Iran, escalating tensions and impacting peace deal prospects
Trump warns Iran, escalating tensions and reducing peace deal prospects. Israel-Iran peace deal by June 30, 2026 at 12.5% YES.
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Trump considers military options as US-Iran nuclear talks stall
Trump considers military options as US-Iran nuclear talks stall. Diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026 at 49% YES.
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Trump hints at military action against Iran, impacting peace deal odds
Trump hints at military action against Iran, reducing peace deal odds. Permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026 at 12.5% YES.
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US, Israel prepare for potential military action against Iran amid tensions
US and Israel prepare for military action against Iran. Iranian military action against neighbors rises to 62% YES.