US and Iran are close to finalizing a memorandum of understanding to extend the ceasefire. Ceasefire extension by June 7 at 64.5% YES.

Iran accuses the US of ceasefire violations amid new strikes. Ceasefire extension by May 26 drops to 1.7% YES, June 7 remains at 63.5% YES.

$8,466,612 has traded on "US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefi..." as of May 27, 2026. View real-time odds or trade on The World's Largest Prediction Mark...

US and Iran reached a tentative deal pending Trump's approval. Agreement or ceasefire by June 7 at 53% YES.