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Storia in 8 fonti

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?

$8,466,612 has traded on "US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefi..." as of May 27, 2026. View real-time odds or trade on The World's Largest Prediction Mark...

Raccontata daeconomictimes.indiatimes.commiddleeasteye.netpolymarket.comcryptobriefing.comarabnews.comfortune.combenzinga.comzerohedge.com

Confronto fonti

6 prospettive sulla stessa storia
AI · summaries
polymarket.com1 g fa

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Polymarket's US-Iran deal market hit $183M volume, pricing an accord at 8% by May 31 and 82% by year-end, as talks hinge on Strait of Hormuz access and uranium disposal. An H2 resolution would cut energy-cost volatility and Mideast supply chain risk — parameters worth factoring into 2026 infrastructure and hardware planning.

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Timeline cronologica

  1. domenica 24 maggio 2026·economictimes.indiatimes.com

    Inside the US-Iran deal Trump is close to signing

    The US and Iran are close to signing a 60-day ceasefire agreement that would reopen the Strait of Hormuz, allow Iran to freely export oil, and begin negotiations on curbing…

  2. domenica 24 maggio 2026·middleeasteye.net

    Report: US-Iran deal includes 60-day ceasefire extension

    A proposed agreement between Washington and Tehran would extend the current ceasefire by 60 days and reopen the Strait of Hormuz, according to Axios, citing a US official.

cryptobriefing.com2 g fa

Iran's Foreign Ministry says framework reached with US but no deal imminent

Iran's Foreign Ministry confirmed a framework exists with the U.S. but stated no deal is imminent and that nuclear issues are not yet on the table, directly contradicting Secretary Rubio's claim a deal could be signed Monday. Prediction markets have repriced sharply — May 25/26 ceasefire sub-markets collapsed to 6–14% YES, while the June 30 nuclear deal market holds at ~41%, signaling that the 36-day window remains open but the diplomatic timeline is materially longer than previously expected.

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middleeasteye.net3 g fa

Report: US-Iran deal includes 60-day ceasefire extension

A proposed agreement between Washington and Tehran would extend the current ceasefire by 60 days and reopen the Strait of Hormuz, according to Axios, citing a US official.

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fortune.com3 g fa

The more generous U.S. ceasefire terms are, the more suspicious Iran becomes they're a ruse for another…

"The deal in play looks like a win for Iran. But Tehran is not convinced that it is not a dress rehearsal for war now or in 30 days."

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zerohedge.com2 g fa

Broad risk-on amid hopes of US-Iran agreement; thin trade expected with cash market closures in the US+UK -…

US and Iran agreed in principle on a 60-day ceasefire and Strait of Hormuz reopening, with 95% of terms settled pending Khamenei's final sign-off over the next 5–6 days. Crude futures fell and EU equity futures rose 1.0%, signaling reduced energy cost volatility with direct relevance to infrastructure capex and supply chain planning.

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benzinga.com2 g fa

Iran Ceasefire Extension Odds Drop From 86% To 32% On Crypto Prediction Market After Trump's Latest Socia

Polymarket odds on US-Iran ceasefire extension fell from 86% to 32% in 24h ($4.35M wagered) after Trump said the deal is not finalized. Prediction markets now price geopolitical risk faster than news — a live signal for teams tracking energy costs and supply-chain exposure.

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  • domenica 24 maggio 2026·polymarket.com

    Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?

    $19,129,543 has traded on "Will the Iran ceasefire continue throu..." as of May 24, 2026. View real-time odds or trade on The World's Largest Prediction Mark...

  • domenica 24 maggio 2026·cryptobriefing.com

    US and Iran near deal to reopen Strait of Hormuz, lift oil sanctions

    US and Iran are nearing a deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz and lift oil sanctions. Agreement by May 26 at 70% YES.

  • domenica 24 maggio 2026·polymarket.com

    Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

    $21,216,660 has traded on "Will Donald Trump announce that the Un..." as of May 24, 2026. View real-time odds or trade on The World's Largest Prediction Mark...

  • domenica 24 maggio 2026·polymarket.com

    What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by May 31? Trading Odds & Predictions 2026 | Polymarket

    $5,071,968 has traded on "Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanctio..." as of May 24, 2026. View real-time odds or trade on The World's Largest Prediction Mark...

  • domenica 24 maggio 2026·arabnews.com

    Iran and US closing in on deal to end war, Rubio says announcement possible Sunday

    TEHRAN: The United States and Iran could strike a deal to end the Middle East war as early as Sunday, Washington’s top diplomat said, while Tehran insisted the agreement would do…

  • domenica 24 maggio 2026·fortune.com

    The more generous U.S. ceasefire terms are, the more suspicious Iran becomes they're a ruse for another attack, expert says | Fortune

    "The deal in play looks like a win for Iran. But Tehran is not convinced that it is not a dress rehearsal for war now or in 30 days."

  • domenica 24 maggio 2026·cryptobriefing.com

    Fox News: US-Iran deal delayed days as Trump extends deadline for language finalization

    US officials say no Iran deal this weekend, language finalization extended by days. US-Iran agreement by May 26 at 16.5% YES; June deal still at 59%.

  • lunedì 25 maggio 2026·benzinga.com

    Iran Ceasefire Extension Odds Drop From 86% To 32% On Crypto Prediction Market After Trump's Latest Socia

    Cryptocurrency punters sharply lowered the odds of the U.S. extending the ceasefire with Iran after President Donald Trump's latest remarks cast doubt on progress toward an…

  • lunedì 25 maggio 2026·zerohedge.com

    Broad risk-on amid hopes of US-Iran agreement; thin trade expected with cash market closures in the US+UK - Newsquawk EU Market Open

    US President Trump posted on Saturday that an agreement has largely been negotiated, subject to finalisation between the US, Iran and various Middle Eastern countries.

  • lunedì 25 maggio 2026·cryptobriefing.com

    Iran's Foreign Ministry says framework reached with US but no deal imminent

    Iran's Foreign Ministry says no deal is imminent despite a framework existing. US-Iran agreement by June 7 sits at 57.5% YES, down from 86%.

  • lunedì 25 maggio 2026·cryptobriefing.com

    Iran's Foreign Ministry confirms 14-point MOU targets war end, Hormuz transit deal

    Iran's Foreign Ministry confirms 14-point MOU targeting war end and Hormuz transit deal. 20 ships through Hormuz by May 31 at 54.5% YES; June 7 ceasefire at 56.

  • lunedì 25 maggio 2026·cryptobriefing.com

    Iranian FM, parliament speaker arrive in Doha for US-Iran deal talks

    Iranian FM and parliament speaker arrive in Doha for US-Iran deal talks. Ceasefire through May 31 at 92.5% YES, May 27 at 96.4% YES.

  • lunedì 25 maggio 2026·cryptobriefing.com

    Nikkei: Iran to reopen Strait of Hormuz 30 days after US deal

    Nikkei reports Iran will reopen Hormuz 30 days after a US deal; ceasefire extension by June 7 at 73.5% YES, Hormuz normal by May 31 at 3% YES.

  • martedì 26 maggio 2026·polymarket.com

    US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

    $182,778,568 has traded on "US x Iran permanent peace deal by Jun..." as of May 26, 2026. View real-time odds or trade on The World's Largest Prediction Mark...

  • martedì 26 maggio 2026·polymarket.com

    US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

    $183,233,050 has traded on "US x Iran permanent peace deal by May..." as of May 26, 2026. View real-time odds or trade on The World's Largest Prediction Mark...

  • martedì 26 maggio 2026·polymarket.com

    US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?

    $6,968,011 has traded on "US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefi..." as of May 26, 2026. View real-time odds or trade on The World's Largest Prediction Mark...

  • martedì 26 maggio 2026·cryptobriefing.com

    Iran accuses US of ceasefire violation amid new military strikes

    Iran accuses the US of ceasefire violations amid new strikes. Ceasefire extension by May 26 drops to 1.7% YES, June 7 remains at 63.5% YES.

  • mercoledì 27 maggio 2026·polymarket.com

    US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?

    $8,466,612 has traded on "US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefi..." as of May 27, 2026. View real-time odds or trade on The World's Largest Prediction Mark...