Anthropic has released an interactive modeling tool that lets users plug in their own assumptions about artificial intelligence and watch what happens to the US economy.
The range of outcomes is wide. On one end: a gentle productivity nudge that barely registers. On the other: GDP growth exceeding seven times the current pace, paired with unemployment hitting 14%.
How the model works
Available at anthropic.com/institute/econ-scenarios, the tool lets users adjust several key variables: how capable AI becomes, how quickly businesses adopt it, whether it augments human workers or replaces them outright, and how fast displaced workers find new jobs.
The model draws on data from the company’s Anthropic Economic Index, or AEI, a research program that analyzes millions of anonymized conversations to measure how AI is actually being used across industries and geographies.
