Galaxy Research Head of Research Alex Thorn cut his odds of the Clarity Act becoming law in 2026 to 30%, calling the bill's path to passage "Hail Mary territory" and warning that the calendar is now the enemy.

Why Galaxy Says This Is Now Hail Mary Territory?

Thorn laid out his assessment in Galaxy's weekly research brief on X, comparing the bill's situation to being down 28-3 in the Super Bowl.

The combined 616-page text is finally public, but the coalition needed to pass it is not visibly in place.

Republicans officially hold 53 seats, but Sen.