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Prediction Market Traders Brace for Surprise Fed Rate Hike - Decrypt

The odds that the Fed pushes for "no change" on interest rates has fallen sharply on prediction markets in the last 24 hours.

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decrypt.coStai leggendo1 mese fa

Prediction Market Traders Brace for Surprise Fed Rate Hike - Decrypt

Prediction markets now price 26.65% odds of 25bp Fed hike by July 29—up ~10 points in 24h per Polymarket—despite June inflation at 3.5%. Rate increases slow venture funding; managers expect tighter budgets and startup valuation pressure.

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domenica 26 luglio 2026·cryptobriefing.com
Bond traders see over 33% chance of Fed rate hike at upcoming meeting
Bond traders see over a 33% chance of a Fed rate hike at the upcoming meeting. Rate hike by July priced at 38.5% YES.
domenica 26 luglio 2026·cryptobriefing.com
Federal Reserve faces 104 economists in 36% rate hike bet as crypto markets brace for impact
All 104 economists expect the Fed to hold rates at 3.50%-3.75%, but Polymarket shows 20% hike odds. Here's what it means for Bitcoin and crypto.

Prediction Market Traders Brace for Surprise Fed Rate Hike - Decrypt

Confronto fonti

Prediction Market Traders Brace for Surprise Fed Rate Hike - Decrypt

Timeline cronologica

Bond traders see over 33% chance of Fed rate hike at upcoming meeting

Federal Reserve faces 104 economists in 36% rate hike bet as crypto markets brace for impact

Prediction market traders raise odds of July Fed rate hike to 27%

Prediction Markets Say Hold, Citadel Securities Says Fed Will Hike as Trump Pressures Central Bank

High Uncertainty Ahead of Fed Decision

Why Fed is still likely to stay on hold despite rising hike bets

Prediction Market Traders Brace for Surprise Fed Rate Hike - Decrypt

Traders brace for potential surprise Fed rate hike by September 2026

Prediction market traders raise odds of July Fed rate hike to 27%

Citadel Securities predicts surprise Fed rate hike this week

High Uncertainty Ahead of Fed Decision

Why Fed is still likely to stay on hold despite rising hike bets

Prediction Markets Say Hold, Citadel Securities Says Fed Will Hike as Trump Pressures Central Bank

Fed rate hike unlikely this week amid low market expectations

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Wall Street uncertain on Fed's rate hike decision today

Markets hold their breath as Fed decision looms over a messy macro backdrop

Polymarket shows 53% odds of September rate hike while Fed futures markets sit at 32%

Fed Hike Odds Surge as Warsh Unleashes Hawkish Warning