IMF warns Iran conflict will drive US inflation through 2027. US-Iran deal in 2026 with reconstruction funding at 29.5% YES.

Iran's economy struggles post-war as nuclear deal prospects dim. Deal by August 13, 2026 at 2.6% YES.

IMF warns of a global economic slowdown in 2026 due to the Iran conflict. No Fed rate cuts in 2026 at 77.6% YES.

IMF warns of inflation risks due to Middle East conflicts. No change in Fed rates after July 2026 at 77.5% YES.