IDF captures Beaufort Castle, indicating escalation in Lebanon conflict. Withdrawal from Lebanon by June 30, 2026 at 6.5% YES, peace deal with Hezbollah by May

$1,431,243 has traded on "Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal..." as of May 28, 2026. View real-time odds or trade on The World's Largest Prediction Mark...

Israel declares part of Lebanon a combat zone amid tensions with Hezbollah. Permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026 at 3.3% YES.

Israel strikes Beirut, escalating conflict with Hezbollah. Permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026 at 5.4% YES.

Israeli troops crossed the Litani River, escalating conflict with Hezbollah. Permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026 at 3.2% YES, withdrawal by June 30, 2026 at 10

Israeli troops advanced into Lebanon, reducing the likelihood of a peace deal with Hezbollah. Permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026 at 12.3% YES.

Israeli forces escalate military actions in Lebanon, reducing peace deal chances. Permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026 at 2.7% YES.

Israeli forces crossed the Litani River, escalating tensions with Hezbollah. Permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026 at 1.9% YES.

Lebanon accuses Israel of a 'scorched-earth policy' amid ongoing conflict. Withdrawal by June 30, 2026 at 7.5% YES.

IDF captures Beaufort Castle, indicating escalation in Lebanon conflict. Withdrawal from Lebanon by June 30, 2026 at 6.5% YES, peace deal with Hezbollah by May

Hezbollah drone attacks lead Israel to consider military conquest in Lebanon. Permanent peace deal by May 2026 drops to 0.5% YES, withdrawal by June 2026 at 6.5

IDF retakes Beaufort Ridge outpost in Lebanon. Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026 at 6.5% YES.

Netanyahu orders expanded military exercises in Lebanon. Permanent peace deal with Hezbollah by May 31, 2026 at 0.5% YES.