IMD downgrades monsoon forecast to below normal, warns of hotter June: Here’s why

Monsoon concerns deepen as rainfall forecast falls to 90% of normal

India's IMD cut its 2025 monsoon forecast to 90% of LPA (from April's 92%), with El Niño expected to strengthen June–September across northwest, central, and south peninsular regions. With 51% of farmland rain-fed, the revision signals weaker rural consumption and food price pressure — a macro headwind for India-exposed supply chains and agri-input businesses.