April PCE rose to 3.8% YoY, the highest since May 2023, as the Hormuz energy shock fed through. Core PCE hit 3.3% while Q1 GDP was revised down to 1.6%.

Consumers now expect prices to rise 4.8% over the next year, up from 3.4% in February, and businesses and bond markets are signaling similar expectations.

US inflation, measured by the Fed's preferred PCE index, jumped 3.8% in April, the highest year-on-year rate since 2023. Get the details on rising US infla