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US withdraws fleet, releases Iranian assets amid diplomatic breakthrough
US withdraws fleet and releases Iranian assets amid diplomatic breakthrough. New US-Iran agreement by May 26 at 86% YES.
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cryptobriefing.com
Iran and US reach final draft of nuclear deal through Pakistani mediation
Iran and the US reached a final draft of a nuclear deal through Pakistani mediation. US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30 at 31.5% YES.
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US withdraws fleet, releases Iranian assets amid diplomatic breakthrough
US withdraws fleet and releases Iranian assets amid diplomatic breakthrough. New US-Iran agreement by May 26 at 86% YES.
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US and Iran near deal to reopen Strait of Hormuz, lift oil sanctions
US and Iran are nearing a deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz and lift oil sanctions. Agreement by May 26 at 70% YES.
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Trump says Iran deal not fully negotiated yet
Trump says Iran deal isn't fully negotiated yet, sending near-term odds crashing. US-Iran agreement by May 26 at 18.5% YES, down from 60% yesterday.
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Iran says Washington retreated on key understandings after Trump claimed deal "largely negotiated"
Iran accused Washington of retreating on key understandings hours after Trump claimed a deal was "largely negotiated." US-Iran agreement by May 26 collapsed to
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Fox News: US-Iran deal delayed days as Trump extends deadline for language finalization
US officials say no Iran deal this weekend, language finalization extended by days. US-Iran agreement by May 26 at 16.5% YES; June deal still at 59%.
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Iran's Foreign Ministry confirms 14-point MOU targets war end, Hormuz transit deal
Iran's Foreign Ministry confirms 14-point MOU targeting war end and Hormuz transit deal. 20 ships through Hormuz by May 31 at 54.5% YES; June 7 ceasefire at 56.
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Iranian FM, parliament speaker arrive in Doha for US-Iran deal talks
Iranian FM and parliament speaker arrive in Doha for US-Iran deal talks. Ceasefire through May 31 at 92.5% YES, May 27 at 96.4% YES.
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US-Iran negotiations continue despite US strikes on Bandar Abbas
US-Iran negotiations continue amid US strikes on Bandar Abbas. Strait of Hormuz traffic normal by July 31 at 59.5% YES.
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polymarket.com
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
$6,968,011 has traded on "US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefi..." as of May 26, 2026. View real-time odds or trade on The World's Largest Prediction Mark...
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Iran accuses US of ceasefire violation amid new military strikes
Iran accuses the US of ceasefire violations amid new strikes. Ceasefire extension by May 26 drops to 1.7% YES, June 7 remains at 63.5% YES.