US issues five peace ultimatums to Iran amid tensions. US-Iran nuclear deal by June priced at 22.5% YES.

CENTCOM signals decreased likelihood of a US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31. Deal at 7.5% YES.

Israel and the US consider renewed military attacks on Iran. Permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026 at 17.5% YES.

Trump warns Iran to negotiate or face destruction. US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027 at 55.5% YES, while Israel-Iran peace deal by June 30, 2026 at 17.5% YES.

US rejects Iran's proposal amid tensions. Strait of Hormuz traffic normal by December 31 at 76.5% YES.

Trump shows willingness for a 20-year limit on Iran's nuclear program. Deal before 2027 now at 61.5% YES.

Iran rejects the transfer of enriched uranium, citing distrust of the US. US obtaining Iranian enriched uranium by May 31 at 5.5% YES.

Trump rejects Iran's nuclear proposal, reducing deal prospects. US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30 at 28% YES.

US strikes killed Iran's Ayatollah Khamenei, raising tensions. US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027 at 59% YES.

US and Israel consider military escalation against Iran. Permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026 at 15.5% YES, down from 18% yesterday.

Trump considers military strikes on Iran as Israel prepares for conflict. Permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026 at 13.5% YES.

Leaked US demands may stall Iran nuclear deal progress. US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31 at 7.5% YES.

Israeli military strikes on Doha and Tehran escalate tensions. Permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026 at 13% YES.

Trump and Xi agree to keep the Strait of Hormuz open amid US-Iran tensions. US-Iran nuclear deal by June at 21% YES.

Israel establishes secret military outposts in Iraq amid rising tensions. Permanent peace deal with Iran by June 2026 at 13% YES.

Drone attack on UAE nuclear plant escalates US-Iran tensions. Permanent peace deal between Israel and Iran by June 30, 2026 at 13% YES.

Zero sum game persists amid seemingly unbridgeable gulf...

US issues five peace ultimatums to Iran amid tensions. US-Iran nuclear deal by June priced at 22.5% YES.

Trump warns Iran, escalating tensions and reducing peace deal prospects. Israel-Iran peace deal by June 30, 2026 at 12.5% YES.