Elon Musk said Anthropic‘s most extreme AI-growth scenario could become achievable once humanoid robots reach volume production, arguing that artificial intelligence (AI) paired with physical automation could transform the economy beyond knowledge work.
Musk Says Robots Could Unlock Extreme Growth
Reacting Wednesday to a Polymarket post highlighting Anthropic’s economic scenario explorer, Musk wrote, "That will be certainly be true when humanoid robots reach volume production." The post referenced Anthropic’s extreme case, which models annual U.S. GDP growth reaching roughly 15%, enough to double the economy every 4.5 years.
Anthropic stresses that the scenario is conditional rather than being a forecast. It assumes AI becomes more productive than humans at most knowledge-work tasks, performs nearly all of them autonomously and creates essentially no new knowledge tasks for people. The company says that path would likely require recursively self-improving AI and rapid adoption.
Anthropic Models Bigger Economy, Smaller Labor Share
