Market Snapshot
The market on whether the Iranian regime will survive U.S. military strikes is currently priced at 98.8% YES, slightly down from 99% 24 hours ago. Meanwhile, the market on a potential U.S. invasion of Iran before 2027 stands at 17.5% YES, down from 18% a day ago.
Key Takeaways
The report of Iran’s missile and drone attack success appears to suggest an increased likelihood of U.S. military retaliation.
Markets seem to indicate that the probability of the Iranian regime’s survival has slightly decreased in light of recent events.
