Market Snapshot

The market for “Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?” is currently pricing at 22% YES, up from 20% 24 hours ago. The “Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?” market holds at 98% YES, showing little change. The “Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?” market is priced at 5.5% YES, down slightly from 6% over the past day.

Key Takeaways

Markets suggest an increased likelihood of U.S. invasion of Iran, consistent with recent military actions.

The pricing indicates that the Iranian regime is still expected to survive despite the strikes.