Market Snapshot
The market for “Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?” is currently priced at 19.5% YES, up from 18% in the last 24 hours. The “Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?” market remains steady at 98.2% YES. The “Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?” market is currently priced at 30% YES, unchanged from the previous day.
Key Takeaways
The launch of self-defense strikes by CENTCOM appears to increase the likelihood of U.S. military escalation in Iran.
Markets suggest that the Iranian regime’s survival remains likely despite recent U.S. actions.
