Market Snapshot
The market “Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?” is currently priced at 19.5% YES, down from 20% a day ago. Meanwhile, the “Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?” market remains steady at 98% YES.
Key Takeaways
CENTCOM’s recent strikes suggest an escalation in U.S.-Iran hostilities, potentially impacting the likelihood of U.S. ground forces entering Iran.
The continuation of military actions inside Iran appears to apply increased pressure on the Iranian regime’s stability.
