Israel strikes Tyre as cease-fire with Lebanon falters

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https://www.tovima.com/world/israel-strikes-in-lebanon-kill-250-as-ceasefire-falters/

Israel Lebanon ceasefire extension

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The Israel Lebanon Ceasefire Extension market shows decreased probability, with current pricing suggesting diminished likelihood of an extension. The Israel-Hezbollah Permanent Peace Deal market also reflects lowered confidence, with YES pricing at 2.6% for the June 15 deadline. The likelihood of Israel striking four countries in 2026 has increased, with the market pricing YES at 33.8%.