Iran launched missile attacks on Israel, raising tensions. Iran Regime Survival at 98.8% YES, Israel Strikes in 2026 at 33.6% YES.
Market Snapshot
Iran Regime Survival market is currently priced at 98.8% YES, up from 98% in the past 24 hours. The Israel Strikes in 2026 market shows a 33.6% YES probability, down from 35% yesterday.
Key Takeaways
Iran’s recent missile attacks on Israel appear to be consistent with heightened regional ambitions and military capabilities.
Market behavior suggests participants see these developments as supportive of increased Israeli military responses in the region.
Israeli strikes hit an Iranian missile base, raising tensions in the region. Iranian regime fall by 2027 at 12.5% YES; Israel…
Iran fired 24 missiles into Israel, escalating tensions. Israel to strike 4 countries in 2026 at 35.1% YES.
Iran reactivates missile bunkers amid rising tensions. Permanent peace deal with Israel by June 30, 2026 at 12.5% YES.
Iran targets U.S. bases with missile and drone strikes. Iranian regime survival at 98.8% YES, U.S. invasion before 2027 at 17.5%…
Israel launches airstrikes against Iran amid escalating conflict. Iran closing airspace by July 31 at 59% YES.
Iran shows military readiness for potential conflict with neighbors. Military action against neighbors at 62% YES.
