Market Snapshot
The “Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?” market is currently priced at 12.5% YES, up slightly from 12% YES 24 hours ago. “Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?” is priced at 35.2% YES, down from 37% YES a day prior.
Key Takeaways
Reported Israeli strikes on an Iranian missile base appear consistent with increased military actions, suggesting a possible escalation in the regional conflict.
The news of the attack may indicate mounting pressure on the Iranian regime, which could influence the likelihood of regime destabilization.
