Armenians are all set to head to the polls on Sunday in a decisive election that will shape the future of the South Caucasus country and the entire region, as Russia warned Yerevan of a “Ukraine scenario,” while the EU and the US came together to support Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan’s cautious pro-West pivot after securing a historic peace agreement with Azerbaijan.

The voters are choosing between Pashinyan and his centrist Civil Contract party, and a fragmented pro-Russian opposition openly supported by the Kremlin.

Russian-Armenian billionaire Samvel Karapetyan — running while under house arrest — is leading the Strong Armenia party as its main figure, alongside former President Robert Kocharyan, who also ran a pro-Moscow campaign.

A Breavis poll published days before the vote projects that Armenians would give Pashinyan a decisive mandate of over 60% of decided voters to solidify the South Caucasus country's strategic realignment towards a pro-Western path, setting it on a collision course with the Kremlin and cementing the historic peace agreement with Azerbaijan over Karabakh.

The poll showed that no opposition party was expected to rise above 12%.