US airstrikes on Iran enter ninth day. Full airspace closure by July 31 at 25.5% YES, by August 31 at 44.0% YES.

US targets Iranian naval assets amid Strait of Hormuz tensions. Traffic normalization by August 31 at 11.5% YES.

US strikes Iran for the seventh night amid rising tensions. Full airspace closure by July 31 at 28.5% YES, by August 31 at 44.5% YES, regime fall by 2026 at 10.

US airstrikes hit Iran's civilian sites, escalating tensions. Full airspace closure by August 31 at 52.5% YES.

US strikes aimed to degrade Iran's capacity to target commercial vessels

Iran closes the Strait of Hormuz after US airstrikes. WTI Crude Oil reaching $90 by July 2026 at 46% YES.