US destroys 116 telecom towers in southern Iran. Full airspace closure by August 31 at 50.5% YES, military action against a Gulf state on July 22 at 53.5% YES.

US expands military strikes in response to Iranian attacks. US invasion of Iran before 2027 at 25.5% YES, airspace closure by August 31 at 41% YES.

US strikes Iran for the seventh night amid rising tensions. Full airspace closure by July 31 at 28.5% YES, by August 31 at 44.5% YES, regime fall by 2026 at 10.

US expands military strikes in Iran, targeting inland sites. Invasion before 2027 now at 27.5% YES.

A return to the collapse from within playbook...

US airstrikes hit Iran's civilian sites, escalating tensions. Full airspace closure by August 31 at 52.5% YES.