US destroys 116 telecom towers in southern Iran. Full airspace closure by August 31 at 50.5% YES, military action against a Gulf state on July 22 at 53.5% YES.

US strikes Iranian bridges, escalating tensions. War declaration on Iran by December 31, 2026 at 5.5% YES.

US-Iran conflict escalates with targeted strikes on infrastructure. Strait of Hormuz traffic normal by August 31 at 11.5% YES.

US expands military strikes in response to Iranian attacks. US invasion of Iran before 2027 at 25.5% YES, airspace closure by August 31 at 41% YES.

US strikes Iran for the seventh night amid rising tensions. Full airspace closure by July 31 at 28.5% YES, by August 31 at 44.5% YES, regime fall by 2026 at 10.

US expands military strikes in Iran, targeting inland sites. Invasion before 2027 now at 27.5% YES.

US strikes Iranian military targets, damaging civilian sites. Invasion of Iran before 2027 now at 27.5% YES.

A return to the collapse from within playbook...

US destroys 116 telecom towers in southern Iran. Full airspace closure by August 31 at 50.5% YES, military action against a Gulf state on July 22 at 53.5% YES.

US air strikes hit Iran's Hormozgan province amid rising tensions. Iranian regime fall by end of 2026 at 10.5% YES, full airspace closure by July 31 at 31.5% YE.

US strikes target Iranian positions amid escalating conflict. Iranian military action against a Gulf state on July 22 at 59% YES.

US strikes hit Iranian air defense systems amid ongoing conflict. Iranian military action against a Gulf state by July 22 at 56% YES.

US Army targets IRGC units amid rising tensions. Iran military action against a Gulf state on July 22 at 57% YES.

US strikes in southern Iran escalate tensions. Iranian military action against a Gulf state on July 22 at 60.5% YES.

US airstrikes hit Iran's civilian sites, escalating tensions. Full airspace closure by August 31 at 52.5% YES.

Iran launches missiles at US targets, escalating tensions. Full airspace closure by August 31 at 57% YES.

Iran launches missiles and drones targeting Gulf nations. Military action against a Gulf state by July 22 at 63.5% YES.

US airstrikes on Iran enter ninth day. Full airspace closure by July 31 at 25.5% YES, by August 31 at 44.0% YES.

US expands military operations against Iran after a service member's death. Full airspace closure by August 31 at 42% YES.

US strikes hit an IRGC base in Chabahar, Iran, escalating tensions. Military action against a Gulf state by July 22 at 57.5% YES.

US strikes Iranian targets, escalating tensions. Strait of Hormuz traffic normal by August 31 at 13.5% YES; US invasion of Iran before 2027 at 25.5% YES.